Power price projections are on a downward trajectory, driven by abundant European gas stocks and a mild winter, according to the latest data from Cornwall Insight’s Q1 Power Curve.
The recent figures suggest a significant decrease in projected prices, promising potential relief for households and businesses.
Gas prices, which averaged £94 per MWh in 2023-2024, have dipped to around £79 per MWh as of 26th March 2024.
Projections indicate a continuation of this trend, with costs forecasted at £82 per MWh for 2024/25 and £84 per MWh for 2025/26.
Compared to Cornwall Insight’s previous Power Curve released in late 2023, these forecasts mark a substantial reduction of £31 per MWh and £27 per MWh respectively for the next two years.
Looking further ahead, prices are expected to remain relatively stable until 2027, before witnessing a decline from 2028 onwards.
This anticipated reduction is attributed to the increased supply of Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) and the replacement of high marginal cost fossil fuel technologies with new renewables such as solar, onshore and offshore wind.
However, despite the decrease, projections indicate that prices will remain above historic averages, partly due to Europe’s dependence on international LNG, particularly in light of sanctions on imports from Russia.
Make sure you check out the latest Net Hero Podcast episode:
Net zero is a way to cut your costs and help the planet, so what’s stopping you? Often, it’s just the right help and advice. That’s what we will provide at the Big Zero Show this July. Workshops, expert speakers, case studies and exhibitions. Plus, networking with 1500 peers and potential customers. Register for free now.
